COVER WINDOW

Thursday, October 1 · Week 5

Desk spec

How this works

Cover Window. CFB numbers. BET, LEAN, or PASS. Not a book. You still put the ticket in.

Stamps

  • BET — edge ≥ 2.5 pp after juice. Take it.
  • LEAN — side is right, size or edge isn't.
  • PASS — no edge. Fair is not a bet.

The number

ATS, totals, team totals, 1H. We grade the close.

Ticket

  • Cover — P(the number hits).
  • No-vig — implied from the juice, juice stripped.
  • Edge — cover minus no-vig, in percentage points. Floor 2.5.
  • Stake — quarter Kelly, 3% per ticket, 5% Saturday cash cap. Optional. The side is the product.

Sizing

Default bankroll $10k. Settings if you want it different. Never full Kelly. Two positions in one game are one ticket, not an SGP.

Hard rules

  • No BET on a fair number.
  • No max spread. 28+ gets a trash-time tax in the math, not a ban.
  • No teasers.
  • You can lose the stake. 21+.

If betting is a problem, 1-800-GAMBLER.

Entertainment and education. Not betting advice. You can lose the entire stake. 21+. Legal books